MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Thursday (6/11) – FantasyPros

Thursday’s MLB DFS main slate features five games on DraftKings and FanDuel, with first pitch at 1:10 p.m. ET. The Underdog pick ’em selections are also from the afternoon’s games.

Thursday’s MLB DFS main slate features five games on DraftKings and FanDuel, with first pitch at 1:10 p.m. ET. The Underdog pick ’em selections are also from the afternoon’s games.

Christian Scott isn’t a flawless pitcher. Nevertheless, he’s the best pitching option on a slate that lacks quality hurlers. According to FanGraphs, in eight starts spanning 36 innings this season, Scott has amassed the following stats:
Scott’s low-quality starts are suboptimal for his FanDuel viability. Still, he’s usable there and the top pitching option across all game types on DraftKings, offering a discounted salary compared to the other two pitchers on the table.
Scott has a decent matchup and adequate betting info. The Cardinals are tied for 11th in wRC+ (102) with a 22.8% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 13th in wRC+ (97) with a 22.5% strikeout rate on the road in 2026.
St. Louis is tied for 22nd in wRC+ (87) with a 25.9% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days, though. The Mets are -140 favorites, and the game’s total is nine runs. The game’s total would be more alarming on a different slate, but it fits in with the others on this slate.
Zebby Matthews‘s 3.54 xERA this year is the lowest among today’s probable starters. His 4.15 ERA, 4.19 xFIP and 4.02 SIERA aren’t as impressive, but they’re also among the better marks for this slate’s starting pitchers.
Matthews has a plus-matchup today, albeit with somewhat unfavorable betting info. The Tigers are 19th in wRC+ (97) with a 22.7% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 21st in wRC+ (98) with a 23.2% strikeout rate at home this year.
Detroit is also tied for 24th in wRC+ (86) with a 25.6% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. Regardless, the Twins are slight underdogs (+105), and the game’s total is nine runs.
The betting info for Michael Wacha is mixed. The Royals are -125 favorites, but the game’s total is bloated at 10 runs. Wacha’s matchup is also a mixed bag.
The Rangers are 18th in wRC+ (98) with a 21.7% strikeout rate versus righties, but tied for ninth in wRC+ (103) with a 23.7% strikeout rate on the road this season. In addition, Texas ranks 28th in wRC+ (79) and has a 22% strikeout rate over the previous 30 days.
As for Wacha, he has the following stats in 13 starts, totaling 81 innings:
Wacha doesn’t have standout numbers, but his stats are rock-solid within today’s DFS pitching options.

Merrill Kelly is the worst starting pitcher on this slate by every meaningful measure, sporting the worst ERA (5.71), the worst xERA (7.63), the worst xFIP (5.28) and the worst SIERA (5.31) among today’s probable starters.
The Marlins can continue Kelly’s struggles and hammer him today.

The Cubs have flubbed an opportunity to light up the scoreboard through two games at Coors Field, scoring three and two runs in the first two games of the series. They’ll have one more opportunity to make the most of hitting in MLB’s hitting paradise.
Ryan Feltner is a plus-matchup for them, with his 4.22 ERA, 5.68 xERA, 4.37 xFIP and 4.50 SIERA in seven starts in 2026. The right-handed starter has also ceded a .319 wOBA to lefties and a .339 wOBA to righties since last season. In addition, Colorado’s bullpen is dead last in ERA (5.19) this season.




Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Zebby Matthews had only two strikeouts in his last start. However, he cleared 4.5 strikeouts in his four prior starts, including both on the road. Moreover, Matthews has a 25.8% strikeout rate in 56.1 innings on the road since last season.
Xavier Edwards is raking this year. In 288 plate appearances, he’s logged 76 hits, 42 runs, 22 RBI, a .304 batting average, .390 OBP, .148 ISO, .371 wOBA and 136 wRC+.
After an adequate first taste of The Show last season, Liam Hicks has blossomed this year. He has rattled off 57 hits, including 12 homers, 35 runs, 48 RBI, a .265 batting average, .348 OBP, .356 wOBA and .205 ISO in 65 games and 250 plate appearances this season.


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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

Josh Shepardson
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@BChad50
Josh is a savvy, grizzled veteran in the realm of make-believe sports. He’s thoroughly experienced playing in season-long re-draft leagues, keeper formats and daily games. His fantasy advice for baseball and football has been found at many locations around the internet. He’s finished in the top 10 accuracy scores among experts here, at Fantasy Pros, in three of four years competing with his colleagues including a first-place finish in 2012.
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